US Abdication of Leadership and the “Rise of the Rest”: What does this Mean for International Cooperation?

By Brendan M. Howe / Development and Development Policy in the Trump Era Series

US Abdication of Leadership and Geopolitical Challenges

The demise of the liberal international order (LIO) is a prominent topic of conversation among contemporary academics and practitioners. The first administration of Donald Trump disdained multilateralism in all forms and dealt global governance a serious blow. Joe Biden’s single-term administration, despite recommitting to some of the inter-national accords from which Trump had signalled an intention to withdraw, exacerbated rather than alleviated international concerns about US leadership (or a lack thereof).

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Navigating the Tipping Point: Four Futures for Global Development Cooperation

By Stephan Klingebiel and Andy Sumner / Development and Development Policy in the Trump Era Series

The global system of development cooperation is in a state of flux. In a new policy brief we discuss how and why the very foundations of international aid and development are being shaken by geopolitical shifts, contested norms, and institutional upheaval. The brief argues that the crisis is not a mere cyclical downturn, or nor is it only about money, but a fundamental reordering of the global development landscape. In short, a “tipping point” in the sense of a dramatic moment when incremental changes coalesce into a transformative shift, for better or worse, is in the offing. We ask what might come next.

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Trump’s Second Term and the Global South: Prospects and Perils

By Stephan Klingebiel, Max-Otto Baumann and Andy Sumner

Donald Trump’s return to the White House in January will have far-reaching implications, not only for the democratic system in the United States but also for global cooperation, particularly impacting the Global South. Here, we offer three reflections on what a Trump second term might mean for these countries.

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German Development Policy – Between Global Needs and National Debates

By Sven Grimm / Part of the European Development Policy Outlook Series

The global crises are numerous and the requirements for international engagement are increasing for Europe – and eyes are turning to Germany, the largest country in the EU. Multiple crises require a wide range of measures: from climate policy and the closely related energy transition to securing trade routes in the Gulf of Aden, from responding to diplomatic and humanitarian needs in the Middle East and the Sahel to providing financial and military support for Ukraine. How does all this shape the context for German development policy change? What political developments are likely to drive German global engagement?

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From Development Policy to International Cooperation? Europe’s Evolving Agenda in a Geopolitical Era

By Pauline Veron and Andrew Sherriff / Part of the European Development Policy Outlook Series

The idea that the normative foundations of European development policy would be somewhat immune from geopolitics and national political shifts was always wishful thinking. As policy priorities are being rethought and rewritten, a more openly transactional and self-interested approach to foreign policy and economic relations is gaining momentum. Development policy (and ODA spending) in Europe is increasingly being presented as part of a wider approach to international cooperation rather than something distinct.

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